Rules of thumb for social progress

by Sam Roggeveen - 13 March 2008 3:04PM

Andrew Lee Butters of Time Magazine's Middle East blog writes:

One of my favorite -- if obvious -- metrics of the health of civil society in any given place is celebratory gunfire. If locals mark major events like weddings, sporting victories or the start of spring break by shooting off a couple hundred rounds of high-velocity ammunition, it's a sign that at the very least there's something wrong with the police department, if not the social contract.

'Metrics', in this context, is really just another way of saying 'rule of thumb', and it reminded me of one I came up with long ago relating to political and social progress in foreign countries: the more that local police uniforms resemble military uniforms, the less liberal and democratic that country is likely to be.

Needless to say, there's a website for this type of thing.

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Interpreting the Aid Review

This is the archive of a Lowy Institute blog which ran from January to April of 2011. It was published to debate the Gillard Government's independent aid review, which was then in its research and consultation phase. We offer this archive as a service to researchers and the general public.